according to tradition of this blog, and for future reference, i will publish
the results of sri lankan 2010 parliamentary general election held today on one page (updated as results are received).
they will be presented
as before in a simple one page format .
the confirmed results of current election will be linked to
election department website.
last updated 0130hrs 04/21/2010.latest results - results of 04/20/10 re-poll in trinco and kandy will be updated as they come in.
all results out (except kandy and trinco preferance votes). see below.
note that no of national list mps was not officially released at the time of this update earlier (04/10/2010)-
[see below for district and national results.
elected candidates' preference votes for all districts (except kandy, trinco, batti, and jaffna) added. see below. rest will be added as soon as they are available
]
electoral division level imo the
contrast that would be useful on electoral division level would be with presidential election 2010 rather than 2004 general election (when political situation and party alliances were very different). as such below, for each division, i am giving 2 pairs of percentages (top one is the votes that mahinda rajapaksa and sarath fonseka got in january 2010 for that division . second one is the percentages of leading vote taking parties for that division during this election ( if not mentioned esp the figures are in format upfa/unp/dna) . i will fill the second one as results come in.
on district leveli will give
percentages and no of seats of all seat winning parties of that district; 2004 general election, and current election. in addition i will calculate and give the
seats that would have been allocated to upfa and all others
if votes were similar to presidential election.since imo it is
quite possible to predict no of seats that would be won for most districts, using few electoral divisions, i might also
publish a speculative seat allocation for each district once sufficient data is available.
on national level i will give a national summary in line with what i provide at district one, with national list mp nos added.
preference votes for elected candidates will be published, when available.
full results with national list seats 2004 general (party, no of seats , percentage)
upfa 105(46%), unp 82(38%), itak 22(7%), jhu 9(6%), slmc 5(2%), ucpf 1(1%), epdp(>.5%)2010 presidential (calculated as a parliamentary election, taking account of bonus seats and national list) ( there may be unp-1 and upfa +1 based on exact nos) .
upfa 131(58%), others 94 (40%) 2010 generalelected seats from districts -
upfa 127(60%), unp 51(29%), dna 5(5%), itak 13(3%)see below for district and electoral div break downs and names of and preferences of elected candidates
national list (not official as of last update )
upfa 17, unp 9, dna 2, itak 1total upfa 144, unp 60, dna 7, itak 14---
my speculative projection ( note - this section was not changed after 04/09/10. it is there for record purposes only . for detailed results see below this)
needs more data for a full projection
partial projections -
by taking
2010 presidential vote's corresponding 131 seats for upfa as a base, we will calculate the difference between that vote and current one and thus no. of seats of each district. we can thus speculate on possible number of upfa seats.
as of now upfa is likely to get at least (131+8+4-1+1) + = 143+ seats
no change from - matara, galle, moneragala, hambantota, kalutara, polonnaruwa,
gampaha,
batticaloa,
kurunegala increase of 1 upfa seat from - badulla, matale, ratnapura,
puttalam,
anuradhapura, jaffna, vanni, diggamadulla
: 8increase of 2 upfa seats from - kegalle,
n'eliya,
: 4decrease in 1 upfa seat from - colombo : (-1)
increase in upfa national list allocation : 1 +
(notes-
all in relation to 2010 presidential, not 2004 general election
national level speculation above is based on latest figures from 20 districts and not my earlier separate district level speculations.kandy and trinco results are not available so they are counted as no change )
---
district resultscolombo district
2004 general -
upfa 8(39%), unp 9(42%), jhu 3(18%).2010 presidential -
upfa 11(53%), others 8(46%)2010 general-
upfa 10(51%), unp 7(36%), dna 2(12%).my speculative projection -
upfa 10, unp 7, dna 2. -correct
elected candidates' preference votes
upfawimal weerawansa - 280,672duminda silva - 146,336patali champika ranawaka - 120,336dinesh gunawardana - 116,860bandula gunawardana - 64,654thilanga sumathipala - 60,846susil premjayantha - 54,702a h m fowzie - 51,641jeewan kumarathunga - 51,080gamini lokuge - 49,750unpranil wickremasinghe - 232,957ravi karunanayake - 70,328mohan lal greru - 68,008rosy senanayake - 66,357wijedasa rajapaksha - 60,030sujeewa senasinghe - 52,559praba ganeshan - 42,851dnasarath fonseka - 98,456sunil handunneththi - 78,126
colombo north, colombo central, borella, colombo east, colombo west, dehiwala
ratmalana, kolonnawa, kotte, kaduwela,avissawella, homagama
maharagama,kesbewa, moratuwa, postal -
gampaha district
2004 general -
upfa 9(52%), unp 6(37%), jhu 2(10%).2010 presidential -
upfa 12(62%), others 6(37%).2010 general-
upfa 12 (63%), unp 5 (29%), dna 1(8%)my speculative projection -
upfa 13, unp 4, dna 1. -oops over count upfa by 1
elected candidates' preference votes
upfabasil rajapaksa - 425,861sudarshani fernandopulle - 186,140mervin silva - 151,085athuraliye rathana - 112,010felix perera - 69,938ruvan ranathunga - 66,488lasantha alagiyavanna - 65,939sarana gunawardana - 61,150dulip wijesekara - 51,469vasantha senanayaka - 51,124pandu bandaranayaka - 49,613sarath kumara gunarathna - 46,040unpruwan wijewardena - 88,850upeksha swarnamalee - 81,350karu jayasuriya- 60,310jayalath jayawardana - 58,302john amarathunga - 52,331dnawijitha herath- 50,967wattala,negombo, katana, divulapitiya,mirigama, minuwangoda,
attanagalla, gampaha, ja-ela, mahara, dompe, biyagama,
kelaniya , postal-
kalutara district
2004 general -
upfa 6(52%), unp 3(38%), jhu 1(10%).2010 presidential -
upfa 7(63%), others 3(35%)2010 general-
upfa 7 (64%), unp 2 (28%), dna 1(7%)my speculative projection -
upfa 7, unp 2, dna 1.- correct
elected candidates' preference votes
upfakumara welgama -124,766mahinda samarasingha -97,778nirmala kotalawala - 82,044rohitha abewardana - 77,205rajitha senarathna - 66,701rejinold cooray - 60,196vidura wickramanayaka 50,114unppalitha theverapperuma - 51,153ajith padmashantha perera - 48,588dnaarjuna ranathunga - 27,796panadura, bandaragama, horana,bulathsinhala, matugama, kalutara,
beruwala,agalawatta,postal-
kandy district2004 general -
upfa 5(43 %), unp 6(50%), jhu 1(7%).2010 presidential -
upfa 7(54%), others 5(44%).2010 general
-upfa -8(61%),unp 4(34%),my speculative projection -
uncertain
galagedara, harispattuwa, patha-dumbara, uda-dumbara, teldeniya, kundasale,
hewaheta, senkadagala, mahanuwara, yatinuwara, udunuwara, gampola
nawalapitiya, postal
-
matale district
2004 general -
upfa 3(49%), unp 2(46%).2010 presidential -
upfa 3(60%), others 2(38%)2010 general-
upfa 4(67%) , unp 1(28%), dna 0(4%)
my speculative projection -
upfa 4, unp 1, dna 0. - correct
elected candidates' preference votes
upfalakshman wasantha perera - 65,077janaka bandara thennakon - 47,133nandimithra ekanayaka - 35,754rohana kumara dissanayaka -32,803unpwasantha aluvihare - 31,529dambulla, laggala, matale, rattota, postal
-
nuwara-eliya district
2004 general -
upfa 2(25%), unp 4(54%), ucpf 1(15%).2010 presidential -
upfa 3(43%), others 4(52%).2010 general-
upfa 5(56%), unp 2(39%)my speculative projection - upfa 4, unp 2 - under by 1
upfaarmugam thondaman - 60,997s radakrishnan - 54,083perumal rajadorai - 49,228navin dissanayake - 43,514s b rathnayake - 41,345unpa p digabaram - 39,499shri ranga jeyaratnam - 33,948n'eliya-maskeliya,kotmale, hanguranketa, walapane,postal
2010 parties upfa/unp/ucpf
-
galle district2004 general -
upfa 6(57%), unp 4(39%).2010 presidential -
upfa 7(64%), others 3(35%)2010 general-
upfa 7(66%), unp 2(26%), dna 1(7%).my speculative projection -
upfa 7, unp 2(?), dna 1(?). correctelected candidates' preference votes
upfanishantha muthuhettigama - 125,760ramesh pathirana - 94,317gunarathna weerakon - 67,895chandima weerakkody - 66,190piyasena gamage - 66.301sajin de vas gunawardana - 53,620mohan priyadharshana de silva - 48,756unpgayantha karunathilaka - 49,945manusha nanayakkara - 49,690dnaajith kumara - 15,872balapitya,ambalangoda,karandeniya,bentara-elpitiya, hiniduma,baddegama
ratgama,galle,akmeemana,habaraduwa, postal
-
matara district
2004 general -
upfa 5(60%), unp 3(35%).2010 presidential -
upfa 6(66%), others 2(33%)
2010 general-
upfa 6(65%), unp 2(28%) dna 0(6%).my speculative projection -
upfa 6, unp 2, dna 0. -correct :-)
elected candidates' preference votes
upfasanath jayasuriya - 74,352mahinda yapa - 70,439lakshman yapa abeywardena - 67,510chandrasiri gajadeera - 51,042hemal gunasekara - 51,013wije dahanayaka 44,463unpbuddhika pathirana - 62,499mangala samaraweera - 59,836deniyaya, hakmana, akuressa, kamburupitiya, devinuwara, matara
weligama, postal
-
hambantota district
2004 general -
upfa 5(64%), unp 2(35%).2010 presidential -
upfa 5(67%), others 2(31%).2010 general-
upfa 5(63%), unp 2(30%), dna 0(7%).my speculative projection - had not time to speculate before results elected candidates' preference votes
upfanamal rajapaksa - 147, 566mahinda amaraweera - 105,414chamal rajapaksa - 79,648nirupama rajapaksa - 39,025v k indika - 37,626unpsajith premadasa - 74,467dulip vedarachi - 47,160mulkirigala, beliatta, tangalle, tissamaharama, postal
-
jaffna district2004 general -
itak 8(91%), epdp 1(7%).2010 presidential -
upfa 2(25%), others 7(64%).2010 general-
itak 5(44%), upfa 3(32%), unp 1(9%)my speculative projection - too complex to speculate kayts, vaddukkoddai, kankesanturai, manipay, kopay, udupiddy,
point pedro, chavakachcheri, nallur, jaffna, kilinochchi, postal. 2010 parties upfa/itak/unp/aitc
tulf 5% in k'nochchi
-
vanni district
2004 general -
itak 5(65%), unp 1(24%).2010 presidential -
upfa 1(29%),others 5(70%).2010 general-
itak 3(39%), upfa 2(35%), unp1(12%)my speculative projection - not enough dataelected candidates' preference votes
itakselvam addokalanadan - 17,366s n lingam - 12,120anamalai nadesu shivasakthi - 11,674upfaabdul reshard badurdeen - 27,461unais farook - 10,861unpnoordeen mashoor -9,518
mannar, vavuniya, mullativu, postal, displaced
2010 partise upfa/itak /unp/epdp/dplf
-
batticaloa district2004 general -
itak 4(67)%, slmc 1(18%).2010 presidential -
upfa 1(26%), others 4(69%)2010 general-
itak 3(37%), upfa 1 (34%),unp 1, my speculative projection - upfa 2,unp 1, itak 2 - wrong by 1
kalkudah, batticaloa, padiruppu, postal 2010 parties upfa/unp/itak/tmvp
tulf 7% in
padiruppu-
diggamudulla district2004 general -
upfa 3(38%), slmc 2(26%), itak 1(19%), unp 1(15%).2010 presidential -
upfa 3(48%), others 4(50%).2010 general-
upfa 4(51%), unp 2(35%), itak 1(10%)my speculative projection - not done
elected candidates' preference votes
upfasarath priyananda wijesekera - 54,373a l m athaulla - 36,943shriyani wijewickrema - 33,810p dayarathna - 32,915unphabib mohamed - 44,755mohamed kasim - 41,852itakp m p piyasena - 11,139
ampara, sammanturai, kalmunai, potuvil, postal, displaced 2010 parties upfa/unp/itak
-
trincomalee district2004 general -
itak 2(38%), slmc 1(36%), upfa 1(17%).2010 presidential -
upfa 1(43%), others 3(54%).2010 general-
upfa 2 (43%), unp 1 (28%), itak 1 (24%),my speculative projection - not enough dataseruwila, trincomalee, mutur, postal, displaced 2010partise upfa/unp/itak
-
kurunegala district2004 general -
upfa 9(52%), unp 7(43%).2010 presidential -
upfa 10(63%), others 5(35%).2010 general-
upfa 10(64%), unp 5(32%), dna 0(4%)my speculative projection - upfa 11, unp 4, dna 0. -oops wrong by 1
elected candidates' preference votes
upfajohnston fernando - 136,943t b ekanayaka - 112,420anura priyadarshana yapa - 98,880h m shantha bandara - 86,353s b navinna - 77,976jayarathna herath - 64,605salinda dissanayaka - 56,842niranjan wickramasingha - 54,572indika bandaranayaka - 48,665tharanath basnayaka - 46,079unpdayasiri jayasekara - 132,449akila viraj kariyavasam - 66,477gamini jayawickrama perera - 44,131ashoka ranjan abesinghe - 32,990nimal senerath wijesingha - 30,687galgamuwa, nikaweratiya, yapahuwa, hiriyala, wariyapola
panduwasnuwara , bingiriya, katugampola, kuliyapitiya,dambadeniya
polgahawela, kurunegala, mawathagama, dodangaslanda, postal
-
puttalam district2004 general -
upfa 5(49%), unp 3(46%).2010 presidential -
upfa 5(59%), others 3(40%).2010 general-
upfa 6 (65%), unp 2 (31%), dna 0(3%)my speculative projection - upfa 6, unp 2 -correct
elected candidates' preference votes
upfapriyankara jayarathna -56,098arundika fernando -55,889dayashitha tissera -38,704victor anthony - 35,259nyomal perera - 32,781milroy fernando - 31,509unppalitha range bandara - 36,867niroshan perera - 28,078puttalam, anamaduwa, chilaw, nattandiya, wennappuwa, postal
-
anuradhapura district2004 general -
upfa 5(57%), unp 3(40%).2010 presidential -
upfa 6(63%), 3(32%)2010 general-
upfa 7 (67%), unp 2 (24%), dna 0(5%)my speculative projection -
difficult to speculate due to a 4th party smbp getting sizable vote percentages in some divisions. elected candidates' preference votes
upfasamarakoon mudiyanselage chndrasena 112,644duminda dissanayake 101,384tissa wijyarathna karaliyadde 55,017asanka shehan semasinghe 46,115sarath chandrasiri muthukumarana 44,646ekanayke wifred bandara 40,634weerakumra dissanayake 27,102unpchandrani bandara 29,884palisge harrrison 24,675medawachchiya, horowupotana,anuradhapura east, anuradhapura west, kalawewa,
mihintale, kekirawa, postal
smbp got 26% vote in kekirawa-
polonnaruwa district2004 general -
upfa 3(57%), unp 2(41%).2010 presidential -
upfa 4(65%), others 1(34%).2010 general-
upfa 4(69%), unp 1(27%)my speculative projection -
upfa 4, unp 1, dna 0.elected candidates' preference votes
upfamaithripala sirisena - 90,118roshan ranasinghe - 56,223siripala gamlath - 53,973chandrasiri suriyarachchi - 44,356unpearl gunasekara - 26,925minneriya, medirigiriya, polonnaruwa, postal
-
badulla district
2004 general -
upfa 3(48%), unp 5(49%).2010 presidential -
upfa 5(53%),others 3(45%).2010 general-
upfa 6(58%), unp 2(32%), dna 0(5%).my speculative projection -
upfa 6, unp 2, dna 0. -correct again :-)
elected candidates' preference votes
upfanimal siripala de silva - 141,990dilan perera - 69,610lil chamika buddadasa - 42,856udith sanjaya lokubandara 38,124rohana pushpakumara 36,080amith thenuka vidanagamage 34,742unpharin fernando - 49,073lakshman seneviratne - 31,560mahiyangane, wiyaluwa, passara, badulla, hali-ela
uva-paranagama, welimada, bandarawela, haputale, postal
2010 parties upfa/unp/dna/ind group
also ucpf had 6% in passara, 5%in b'wela, 11% haputale and sig but >5% votes in other div.-
moneragala district2004 general -
upfa 3(61%), unp 2(67%).2010 presidential -
upfa 4(69%), others 1(29%).2010 general-
upfa 4(76%), unp 1(18%), dna 0(6%) my speculative projection -
upfa 4, unp 1, dna 0. -correct :-)
elected candidates' preference votes
upfajagath pushpakumara - 67,903gamini vijith wijithamuni soysa - 54,515sumedha p jayasena - 45,837vijitha berugoda - 43,001unpranjith maddumabandara - 15,105bibile, moneragala, wellawaya, postal
-
ratnapura district2004 general -
upfa 6(53%), unp 4(42%).2010 presidential -
upfa 6(64%) others 4(34%).2010 general-
upfa 7 (69%), unp 3 (28%), dna 0(2%)my speculative projection -
upfa 7, unp 3, dna 0. right again :-)
elected candidates' preference votes
upfajohn senevirathne - 125,816pavithra wanniarachchi - 110,220premalal jayasekara - 73,175janaka wakkumbura - 70,473wasudeva nanayakkara - 56,493ranjith de soysa - 47,147sunny rohana - 37,902unpthalatha athukorala - 64,592ranjan ramanayake - 59,318dunesh gankanda - 34,219eheliyagoda, ratnapura, pelmadulla, balangoda, rakwana, nivitigala,
kalawana, kolonna, postal
-
kegalle district2004 general -
upfa 5(51%), unp 4(44%).2010 presidential -
upfa 5(62%), others 4(36%).2010 general-
upfa 7 (67%), unp 2 (29%), dna 0(3%)my speculative projection -
upfa 6, unp 3, dna 0. - under counted 1 upfa
elected candidates' preference votes
upfaranjith siyabalapitiya - 141,435atauda senevirathna - 67,719kanaka herath - 63,136y p pathmasiri - 61,582lalith dissanayaka - 49,221jagath balasooriya - 47,294h r mithrapala- 37,745unpkabir hassim - 48,344champika premadasa - 40,914
dedigama, galigamuwa, kegalle, rambukkana, mawanella, aranayake,
yatiyantota, ruwanwella, deraniyagala, postal
i have not indicated displaced figures if they are too small to mean anything